Jul. 5th, 2007

joshwriting: (Default)
From MSNBC and Mike Celizic's column, on July 2nd:

"If the Yankees played .700 baseball from here to the end of the season, they'd win 95 games. That's a pretty good total. But if Boston simply plays .505 ball, they'll finish with 96 wins."

The Sox, when he wrote that, were either 50 - 31 or 49 - 31. If they played ".505 ball" from one of those spots, they finished with 90 or 91 wins. They do not finish with 96 wins, unless they play about 57% ball.

That same day, the Yankees' record was 38 - 41, or perhaps 37 - 41. They had 83 or 84 games to go. If they played ".700 baseball from there to the end of the season, they, too, would finish with 96 wins.

So, he has his Red Sox results info wrong. Then, he has the data that comes if the Sox do a particular thing wrong. And he has the results if the Yankees play as well as he can imagine their playing wrong, too!

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joshwriting

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